July 23, 2021

18 thoughts on “Be it in life or investment – Just “know and understand” is NOT good enough!

  1. Hi Rolf,
    We all know what this man said.
    Many of us (especially me most of the time) just can not conquer inner selves.
    Not even some geniuses.

    "If to do were as easy as to know what were good to do, chapels had been churches, and poor men's cottage princes' palaces."

    William Shakespeare.

  2. Rolf,

    Steps 1 and 2 are still talk talk. Most people just end here – the dreamers, NATO generals, chariot cannons (车大炮).

    Step 3 is where rubber meets the road. We sama sama here 🙂

    I prefer the military analogy:

    First send in the scouts to recce.

    Safe then send in the advance party.

    Then the main body.

    Scaling into a core position is not the same as averaging down 😉

    1. Ha! Ha!

      "Scaling into a core position is not the same as averaging down ;"

      i like it but almost the same to me leh!

      i'm not sure you are talking about trading or you talking about long term investment.
      For me long term investment is also a form of trading.
      Now who only buys & never sells?
      None.

    2. temperament,

      Rolf is a lot more like us lah! His background makes him one of us who started out as "bo rui kia" 😉

      Only difference he got a degree and we don't 😉

      If he minds, I would have failed as a judge of character 🙁

      Qian bei,

      I hope you are not my battalion commander in times of war.

      Try sending in main body first, then advance party, then scouts last.

      The scaling in concept works them same in trading and in investing 🙂

      I've learnt in Shanghai that to make fried rice, frying the egg first then add rice is way much better than fry the rice then add egg 😉

    3. Ya!
      Once confirm must buy or must war, It's a matter of pyramid down or pyramid up.
      Aka the scout first or the main body first.
      Both can be logical because it depends on time factor and situation.
      In short when you buy is more important then what you buy.
      It's the same for when you sell is more important than what you sell.
      Ha! Ha!
      Do i sound like a trader?
      A day trader?
      Maybe i am a trader.
      But the long-term kind.
      Actually i think the best is not only you know when to buy and sell, you also know what to buy and what not to buy.
      That is the ideal we are all striving for.
      Don't bluff if you say you are different!
      Ha! Ha!

    4. temperament,

      You think why you and I so "num key"?

      You're a trader lah!

      A 10 years trade is still a trade mah!

      Hello! WHAT to buy comes first (fundamental), then WHEN to buy comes next (technical). I fly with 2 wings remember?

      I wonder who has been saying trading and investing not that much different? Oh, its me! I where got say I different? LOL!

      Those who don't care WHAT they are trading are those voodoo chartist fanatics. I keep my distance 😉

      If you have said pyramid up and pyramid down, I can't disagree with you.

      But with my military analogy, can't agree with you. You can't be a military buff 😉

      Can sacrifice my scouts and advance party, if need be. I still can retreat and withdraw with my balance 80% battalion. Live to fight another day!

      If I lose 80% of my men in the first engagement, pray tell how to recover with only 20% of my troops left?

    5. "Aka the scout first or the main body first.
      Both can be logical because it depends on time factor and situation."
      Analogy:-(Borrow history of China ancient wars)

      Suppose you are the commander of an army trying to capture a wall city of China.
      Which strategy will you use?

      Patience, patience, patience.
      Finally (base on your calculation) you are quite sure your enemy has run out food and water.
      It's time for you to attack.
      Will you Pyramid down or Pyramid Up?
      Is it necessary to send in the scout and advance party, now?
      You may have send in the scouts (actually the citizens of the walled city) all along until you know so much you can seize the city when the time is ripe.
      Will you Pyramid down or Pyramid up?

    6. temperament,

      I'll still AWOL if you are my Army Commander 😉

      How will I capture a walled city?

      Plan A
      ——-
      I'll surround and starve the city out.

      Now that's the patience strategy 😉

      Plan B
      ——-
      If time is the essence as in the walled city have reinforcement coming to its rescue, I'll soften the city defenders with:

      a) Slave troops (peasants what?)

      b) Surrendered troops from my defeated enemies (can't trust them 100% right?)

      c) My own officers and troops whom I suspect are after my job (dangle fame and glory as bait)

      If they make an opening in the city's defences, only then will I send in my personal crack troops whom I trust.

      If not, I better give up my siege and beat a hasty retreat least I get surrounded myself by the city's reinforcement at my rear!

      绿水长流,青山依旧

    7. Ha! Ha!
      Anything is possible.
      We are only "Zi San Tam Ping"
      (Until you enter the city with your main body then you will be sure)
      Ha! Ha!
      "All is fair & square in Love or War"

  3. Hi Two Qian Beis,

    Having fun when I am not at home! LOL!
    Not only I dun mind, I always like to be 热闹 !
    Thanks for creating the atmosphere! "Gam Siah, Gam Siah!" kudos to Jared's has good judgement.

    From investment to poets, to military, to cooking… so so creative!

    @Jared: I rem wat usaid, ok to born" bo rui kia but cannot die bo rui Kia" 🙂

    @Jared:!Aiyo.. the degree or MBA or PHD is really not that important. Imagine if you just stop learning the day u received ur cert. The motivation and ability to learn is the most important!

    @temperament: Your inner self enemy is your greatest enemy! So so true! I remember last time there is a Hollywood movie by Jason Scott Lee on Bruce Lee Story where in the end Bruce Lee is actually fighting himself before he lost n died.

    @temperament : Agree that long term investment is a form of trading unless u own a big part of the company which boast a remarkably great business and have a major say in it. That is the difference between WB and many who does not know the true meaning of "favorite holding position is forever!"

    @Jared : Agree. difference between "scaling into a core position" n "averaging down" is that the
    – former started with a strategy, cruise with control and perform in a calm manner throughout.
    – latter started with over optimism, before losing control and attempt to solve problems in a panic manner.

    @Jared : You absolutely right that it is precisely the reason why we have Recce/Scouts and Advance party in army. Likewise for exploration of offshore oil, u first send a survey ship and not an oil rig.

    So stop NATO and start cooking some egg fried rice!

    Can you cook for me? Haha

    1. You wear skirt and look like Lin Chi-Lin I cook for you 😉

      I still remember the first time I tried to make fried rice on my own. Pour the egg over my rice and wonder where the egg went!?

      LOL!

      Learn by doing can be hilarious looking back 😉

    2. By just reading about your experience of cooking fried rice, i think i understand why some hawker chef don't mind cooking the "ma fund" way.
      That's what the Cantonese call "Wok Hei" in the fried rice or fried "Ho Fun".
      But now a days, you can hardly see them (chefs in hawker centre) do it the traditional way to give you the "Wok Hei" fried "Ho Fun"
      Why because, they can get away with their short cut cooking and still many of us patronised them.
      i think some younger generation may not understand or bother so much with their food.
      Give me a "Big Mac", O. K. liu.
      Can we do that with investing?

    3. temperament,

      Does 5 minutes a day ring a bell?

      How's that for fast food investing?

      LOL!

    4. @Jared: Even when I wear skirt and use 易容术 to look like LCL, I still dun have what she has physically. Hehe… But nvm, at least can con a plate of specially prepared SMOL fried rice.

      @Temperament : Big Mac… not nice. The best is to go Msia and eat the those traditional coffee shop or restaurant shophouses.

      Even fast food 5 min, u still need to look at the history behind which is an arduous task.

  4. Hi Rolf,

    Talk is cheap and easy… action is important but as usual, I am wary of the falling dagger.

    Anyway, any impact to your job from the falling oil market? Hope you are spared from any massacre!

    1. Hi Jes,

      Yes, catching a falling knife for untrained is dangerous.

      But if you are well-trained just like those performing in the circus, a falling dagger is nothing! What appear dangerous for one may not necessary is the same to another.

      Thanks for asking. I am spared the big axe! If not, I will produce an article a day. haha…

      I will write an article about me often doing relatively better during crisis! Fingers cross though since in this volatile market things are unpredictable.

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