Marc Faber, the Swiss investor based
in Thailand and the publisher of gloom boom doom report said the above.
in Thailand and the publisher of gloom boom doom report said the above.
As from wiki, Faber is credited for
advising his clients to get out of the stock market before the October 1987
crash. Faber predicted the rise of oil, precious metals, other commodities,
emerging markets, and especially China in his book Tomorrow’s Gold: Asia’s Age
of Discovery. He also correctly predicted the slide of the U.S. dollar since
2002. In 2012, Faber claimed that there was a “100% chance” of a
global economic recession later that year or in early 2013.
advising his clients to get out of the stock market before the October 1987
crash. Faber predicted the rise of oil, precious metals, other commodities,
emerging markets, and especially China in his book Tomorrow’s Gold: Asia’s Age
of Discovery. He also correctly predicted the slide of the U.S. dollar since
2002. In 2012, Faber claimed that there was a “100% chance” of a
global economic recession later that year or in early 2013.
Faber also said that the market is likely to crash in 2016/2017 period.
Precisely the wrong time for Fed to hike
Few days ago, Faber was interviewed
by CNBC and he said Fed rate hike is not so important compared to the global
economy now. The fact is global economy is decelerating and many countries is
in recession or going into recession.
by CNBC and he said Fed rate hike is not so important compared to the global
economy now. The fact is global economy is decelerating and many countries is
in recession or going into recession.
He felt that after QE3 in 2012,
the economy is growing rapidly and it presents good time to hike and not
compare to now. In theory if they raise rates now, it is precisely the wrong
time. Refer to link
here.
the economy is growing rapidly and it presents good time to hike and not
compare to now. In theory if they raise rates now, it is precisely the wrong
time. Refer to link
here.
In an interview last month, Faber
also said the market of today is manipulated
by a bunch of clowns in central banks around the world. Refer video below.
also said the market of today is manipulated
by a bunch of clowns in central banks around the world. Refer video below.
So what we should do according to
him?
him?
You have to be diversified now!
“Hold some real
estates, some equities, some bonds and cash, and some precious metals.”
estates, some equities, some bonds and cash, and some precious metals.”
And even if you hold gold, you must
hold the physical gold outside US or Europe, and preferably keep in the East.
hold the physical gold outside US or Europe, and preferably keep in the East.
Well, Marc Faber is one of those gurus who are convinced and like to make contrarian predictions. A lot of them actually. So based on the probability principle sooner or later they will be right.
Following his advice all the way people would have missed many opportunities to grow their nest egg.
Having said that, what happened the last 7 or 8 years can not go on forever.
I agree diversification is essential. I force myself never to forget geographical diversification as well as strategic diversification in order to achieve 'real diversification'.
Hi Andy,
Faber is not alone being accompanied by Peter Schiff, who is also at the extreme end of the bear, for a long period of time. While I do not agree entirely with them, their bearishness reasoning does have a strong logic behind.
Like what you say, the market rally cannot go on forever, esp after 7-8 years, so this is one reason why I decide to post this article to create a contrarian view to the recent rally over the recent rate hike.
And sometimes, it can be fun listening to them! Last but not least, I agree that many opportunities will be missed if we followed Faber's advice throughout the years. Haha.
Yes, diversify diversify diversify!
Rolf,
I like Marc Faber.
Look, if a guy can wear a pony-tail like him, he must be quite self-assured!
I'm also an omnivore 🙂
Hi Jared,
Yes, I like Marc Faber too! I think he is a funny guy. At the very least his long term bearishness is mainly on US and he does come with some suggestion of how to deal with it.
Yes, I like the pony tail, and I am an omnivore also. haha 🙂
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